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                <term xml:lang="fr">Analyse intervention</term>
                <term xml:lang="fr">Mesure impact</term>
                <term xml:lang="fr">SUR</term>
                <term xml:lang="fr">Prévision</term>
                <term xml:lang="fr">Fonction autocorrélation</term>
                <term xml:lang="fr">Régulation trafic</term>
                <term xml:lang="fr">Ecoulement trafic</term>
                <term xml:lang="fr">Charge trafic</term>
                <term xml:lang="fr">Autocorrélation</term>
                <term xml:lang="fr">Série temporelle</term>
                <term xml:lang="fr">Processus stochastique</term>
                <term xml:lang="fr">Estimation statistique</term>
                <term xml:lang="fr">Erreur quadratique moyenne</term>
                <term xml:lang="fr">Impulsion</term>
                <term xml:lang="fr">Simulation</term>
                <term xml:lang="fr">Modélisation</term>
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              <p>Les séries chronologiques de trafic ou de ventes de titres de la RATP sont souvent perturbées par des événements spéciaux. Lors de la modélisation d'une série, l'analyse d'intervention (Box et Tiao (1975)) prend en compte ces interventions extérieures et fournit une mesure de l'impact de celles-ci sur la série. Nous analysons les effets de cette technique d'intervention pour différentes fonctions et nous appliquons cette approche sur des séries réelles.</p>
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