Fostering the use of methods for geosimulation models sensitivity analysis and validation
Romain Reuillon
(1)
,
Mathieu Leclaire
(1)
,
Juste Raimbault
(2)
,
Hélène Arduin
(3)
,
Paul Chapron
(1)
,
Guillaume Chérel
(1)
,
Etienne Delay
(4)
,
Pierre-François Lavallée
(5)
,
Jonathan Passerat-Palmbach
(6)
,
Pierre Peigne
,
Julien Perret
(7)
,
Sébastien Rey-Coyrehourcq
(8)
1
ISC-PIF -
Institut des Systèmes Complexes - Paris Ile-de-France
2 ISC-PIF - Institut des Systèmes Complexes - Paris Ile-de-France
3 CRCT - Centre de Recherches en Cancérologie de Toulouse
4 UPR GREEN - Gestion des ressources renouvelables et environnement
5 IDRIS - Institut du développement et des ressources en informatique scientifique
6 BioMedIA - Biomedical Image Analysis Group [London]
7 COGIT - Cartographie et Géomatique
8 IDEES - Identité et Différenciation de l’Espace, de l’Environnement et des Sociétés
2 ISC-PIF - Institut des Systèmes Complexes - Paris Ile-de-France
3 CRCT - Centre de Recherches en Cancérologie de Toulouse
4 UPR GREEN - Gestion des ressources renouvelables et environnement
5 IDRIS - Institut du développement et des ressources en informatique scientifique
6 BioMedIA - Biomedical Image Analysis Group [London]
7 COGIT - Cartographie et Géomatique
8 IDEES - Identité et Différenciation de l’Espace, de l’Environnement et des Sociétés
Romain Reuillon
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 916326
- IdHAL : romain-reuillon
Mathieu Leclaire
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 916327
Juste Raimbault
- Fonction : Orateur
- PersonId : 8803
- IdHAL : juste-raimbault
- ORCID : 0000-0003-0768-9480
- IdRef : 253120284
Paul Chapron
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 176399
- IdHAL : paul-chapron
- ORCID : 0000-0002-3054-0759
Guillaume Chérel
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 1024031
Etienne Delay
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 513
- IdHAL : delay-etienne
- ORCID : 0000-0001-6633-6269
- IdRef : 187746702
Pierre-François Lavallée
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 950930
Jonathan Passerat-Palmbach
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 1098
- IdHAL : jopasserat
- ORCID : 0000-0003-3178-9502
- IdRef : 233191046
Pierre Peigne
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 1053718
Julien Perret
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 14493
- IdHAL : julienperret
- ORCID : 0000-0002-0685-0730
- IdRef : 115077049
Sébastien Rey-Coyrehourcq
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 8345
- IdHAL : sebastien-rey-coyrehourcq
- ORCID : 0000-0001-7296-9695
- IdRef : 242550681
Résumé
In recent years, there has been a significant increase in the development of methods to explore, validate, calibrate and optimize geosimulation models. These methods and tools remain, however, underused by simulation communities, despite an ever improved and easier access to high performance computation facilities. The OpenMOLE model exploration software (Reuillon et al., 2013) is one of the reliable approaches fully dedicated to promote these techniques. This presentation offers some feedback on the recent initiative of a researcher school in model validation, focused around models and practices linked to the OpenMOLE platform. We present the iterative exploration and validation protocol developed during the school, with methods of increasing refinement deployed on a toy geosimulation model (spatialized prey-predator agent-based model of a zombie infection, with multi-modeling paradigms to include diverse processes for agent behavior). First, we illustrate classical sensitivity analysis methods (stochasticity, design of experiments, global sensitivity indices), and then specific methods to study spatial configuration sensitivity, evolutionary computation methods for calibration and diversity search, and Bayesian calibration methods. They are applied on diverse specific submodels, highlighting specific mechanisms of the model, in order to answer associated thematic questions. We also illustrate the comparison with competing model ontologies by calibrating an ODE-based model on data generated by the simulation model. We finally synthesize lessons learned in the final challenge part of the school, consisting of the autonomous exploration of a new model instance by participants, including defining a thematic question and applying appropriate validation methods. This experiment both introduces a broad overview of new geosimulation model methods, and suggests ways to disseminate these into the modeling communities through similar pedagogical implementations.
Domaines
Géographie Complexité [cs.CC] Système multi-agents [cs.MA] Intelligence artificielle [cs.AI] Modélisation et simulation Calcul parallèle, distribué et partagé [cs.DC]Format du dépôt | Annexe |
---|---|
Type de dépôt | Communication dans un congrès |
Résumé |
en
In recent years, there has been a significant increase in the development of methods to explore, validate, calibrate and optimize geosimulation models. These methods and tools remain, however, underused by simulation communities, despite an ever improved and easier access to high performance computation facilities. The OpenMOLE model exploration software (Reuillon et al., 2013) is one of the reliable approaches fully dedicated to promote these techniques. This presentation offers some feedback on the recent initiative of a researcher school in model validation, focused around models and practices linked to the OpenMOLE platform. We present the iterative exploration and validation protocol developed during the school, with methods of increasing refinement deployed on a toy geosimulation model (spatialized prey-predator agent-based model of a zombie infection, with multi-modeling paradigms to include diverse processes for agent behavior). First, we illustrate classical sensitivity analysis methods (stochasticity, design of experiments, global sensitivity indices), and then specific methods to study spatial configuration sensitivity, evolutionary computation methods for calibration and diversity search, and Bayesian calibration methods. They are applied on diverse specific submodels, highlighting specific mechanisms of the model, in order to answer associated thematic questions. We also illustrate the comparison with competing model ontologies by calibrating an ODE-based model on data generated by the simulation model. We finally synthesize lessons learned in the final challenge part of the school, consisting of the autonomous exploration of a new model instance by participants, including defining a thematic question and applying appropriate validation methods. This experiment both introduces a broad overview of new geosimulation model methods, and suggests ways to disseminate these into the modeling communities through similar pedagogical implementations.
|
Titre |
en
Fostering the use of methods for geosimulation models sensitivity analysis and validation
|
Auteur(s) |
Romain Reuillon
1
, Mathieu Leclaire
1
, Juste Raimbault
2
, Hélène Arduin
3
, Paul Chapron
1
, Guillaume Chérel
1
, Etienne Delay
4
, Pierre-François Lavallée
5
, Jonathan Passerat-Palmbach
6
, Pierre Peigne
, Julien Perret
7
, Sébastien Rey-Coyrehourcq
8
1
ISC-PIF -
Institut des Systèmes Complexes - Paris Ile-de-France
( 46714 )
- 57-59 rue Lhomond 75005 Paris
- France
2
ISC-PIF -
Institut des Systèmes Complexes - Paris Ile-de-France
( 541899 )
- 57-59 rue Lhomond 75005 Paris
- France
3
CRCT -
Centre de Recherches en Cancérologie de Toulouse
( 511697 )
- Centre de Recherches en Cancérologie de Toulouse
2 Avenue Hubert Curien
31037 Toulouse Cedex 1
FRANCE
- France
4
UPR GREEN -
Gestion des ressources renouvelables et environnement
( 16781 )
- TA C-47 / F109 Campus international de Baillarguet 34398 Montpellier Cedex 5 FRANCE
- France
5
IDRIS -
Institut du développement et des ressources en informatique scientifique
( 1823 )
- bat. 506 BP 167 91403 ORSAY CEDEX
- France
6
BioMedIA -
Biomedical Image Analysis Group [London]
( 409643 )
- Imperial College London
180 Queen's Gate
London SW7 2AZ, UK
- Royaume-Uni
7
COGIT -
Cartographie et Géomatique
( 30598 )
- 2-4 avenue Pasteur, F-94165 St Mandé
- France
8
IDEES -
Identité et Différenciation de l’Espace, de l’Environnement et des Sociétés
( 97036 )
- 7 Rue Thomas Becket 76821 Mont-Saint-Aignan Cedex
- France
|
Pays |
Luxembourg
|
Langue du document |
Anglais
|
Comité de lecture |
Oui
|
Invité |
Non
|
Vulgarisation |
Non
|
Audience |
Internationale
|
Actes |
Non
|
Titre du congrès |
ECTQG 2019
|
Date début congrès |
2019-09-05
|
Ville |
Mondorf
|
Domaine(s) |
|
Mots-clés |
en
Incremental modeling, Model calibration, Validation of simulation models, Multi-modeling, Sensitivity analysis, Pedagogy of simulation models
|
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