The impact of external shocks in East Asia : lessons from a structural VAR model with block exogeneity - HAL-SHS - Sciences de l'Homme et de la Société
Autre Publication Scientifique Année : 2012

The impact of external shocks in East Asia : lessons from a structural VAR model with block exogeneity

Jean-Pierre Allegret
Cécile Couharde

Résumé

In this paper, we examine the relative importance of external shocks in domestic fluctuations of East Asian countries and check if these shocks lead to asymmetric or symmetric reactions between the considered economies. To this end, we estimate, over the period 1990.1-2010.4, a structural VAR model with block exogeneity (SVARX model) relying on a comprehensive set of external shocks. We firstly document a risingimpact of these external shocks on domestic variables since the mid 1990s. Finally, real oil price and U.S. GDP shocks have a significant impact on domestic activity and lead to more symmetric responses, compared to U.S. monetary shock and MSCI Index financial shocks.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
pub12011.pdf (1.4 Mo) Télécharger le fichier
Origine Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s)
Loading...

Dates et versions

halshs-00697310 , version 1 (15-05-2012)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : halshs-00697310 , version 1

Citer

Jean-Pierre Allegret, Cécile Couharde, Cyriac Guillaumin. The impact of external shocks in East Asia : lessons from a structural VAR model with block exogeneity. 2012, pp.38. ⟨halshs-00697310⟩
233 Consultations
1055 Téléchargements

Partager

More