Economic Insecurity and the Rise of the Right - HAL-SHS - Sciences de l'Homme et de la Société
Pré-Publication, Document De Travail Année : 2019

Economic Insecurity and the Rise of the Right

Résumé

Economic insecurity has attracted growing attention in social, academic and policy cir- cles. However, there is no consensus as to its precise de_nition. Intuitively, economic insecurity is multi-faceted, making any comprehensive formal de_nition that subsumes all possible aspects extremely challenging. We propose a simpli_ed approach, and character- ize a class of individual economic-insecurity measures that are based on the time pro_le of economic resources. We then apply our economic-insecurity measure to data on political preferences. In US, UK and German panel data, and conditional on current economic resources, economic insecurity is associated with both greater political participation (sup- port for a party or the intention to vote) and notably more support for parties on the right of the political spectrum. We in particular _nd that economic insecurity predicts greater support for both Donald Trump before the 2016 US Presidential election and the UK leaving the European Union in the 2016 Brexit referendum.
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Dates et versions

halshs-02325984 , version 1 (22-10-2019)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : halshs-02325984 , version 1

Citer

Walter Bossert, Andrew E. Clark, Conchita d'Ambrosio, Anthony Lepinteur. Economic Insecurity and the Rise of the Right. 2019. ⟨halshs-02325984⟩
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