Climate and Nomadic Migration in a Nonlinear World: Evidence of the Historical China - HAL-SHS - Sciences de l'Homme et de la Société
Article Dans Une Revue SSRN Electronic Journal Année : 2020

Climate and Nomadic Migration in a Nonlinear World: Evidence of the Historical China

Résumé

This paper deals with climate change and nomadic migration relationships at a long term and wide geographical scale using a statistical approach in the vein of Bai and Kung (2011). More precisely, it presents a reassessment of these relationships in a nonlinear world using threshold regressions, time varying-copula and nonlinear causality tests. The large amount of historical records in China enables us to re-interpret the link between climate and historical social dynamics (Hsiang et al., 2013) through different regimes of temperatures and precipitations.
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Dates et versions

hal-04473506 , version 1 (02-06-2020)
hal-04473506 , version 2 (23-02-2024)

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Stéphane Goutte, Olivier Damette, Qing Pei. Climate and Nomadic Migration in a Nonlinear World: Evidence of the Historical China. SSRN Electronic Journal, 2020, 163, pp.2055-2071. ⟨10.2139/ssrn.3615328⟩. ⟨hal-04473506v2⟩
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