Format du dépôt |
Notice |
Type de dépôt |
Communication dans un congrès |
Titre |
en
A theoretical reflection on temporal aspects of emergency population warning and rescue response on human behaviors during disasters
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Résumé |
en
During disasters, people, confronted by life-threatening situations, deal with high levels of stress. While some groups of individuals will be able to cope and adopt thoughtful responses, others will experience acute stress reactions that will disrupt their psychological and physiological functioning leading to irrational responses such as terror, agitation or panic flight (Chidiac & Crocq, 2010). These last reactions are difficult to manage for the emergency services. They often require early assistance provided by medico-psychological emergency cells. Several factors can influence people’s reactions in face with a disaster. Beyond the intensity, the frequency, the temporality and the spatiality of the event (Dubos-Paillard et al, 2021), some factors such as education, risk culture, preparedness can influence the human toll of the disaster.
This paper proposes a theoretical reflection on two factors: the diffusion of information via a warning system reaching a large number of individuals (Douvinet, 2020) and a more localized but on-site intervention by the police and rescue services. We assume that they can influencepositively the dynamics of behavior during the event, but that their effectiveness depends on the period in which they are implemented. We base our reflection on a dynamic multi-compartments model, the Alert-Panic-Control (APC) model, which allows to model the diversity of human behaviors and their evolution during a disaster (Provitolo et al, 2015; Lanza et al, 2020; Verdiere et al, 2021). Inspired by epidemiological models, it makes it possible to simulate different scenarios in which the population can evolve between three kinds of behaviors named Alert (awareness of the danger), Control (sheltering, evacuation, etc.) and Panic (disordered agitation, panic flight, etc.). The objective is therefore to estimate the best moments to implement these two solutions, considering uneven levels of efficiency in order to limit potential “panic” behaviors.
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Auteur(s)
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Edwige Dubos-Paillard
1, 2
, Anne Tricot
3, 4
, Nathalie Verdière
5, 6
, Valentina Lanza
5, 6
, Damienne Provitolo
7, 8
1
GC (UMR_8504) -
Géographie-cités
( 1005044 )
- Campus Condorcet
Bâtiment de recherches sud
5, cours des Humanités
93322 Aubervilliers cedex
- France
-
Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne UMR8504 ( 7550 )
;
-
École des hautes études en sciences sociales ( 99539 )
;
-
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique UMR_8504 ( 441569 )
;
-
Université Paris Cité UMR_8504 ( 557826 )
2
UP1 -
Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne
( 7550 )
- 12 place du Panthéon, 75231 Paris Cedex 05
- France
3
ESPACE -
Étude des Structures, des Processus d’Adaptation et des Changements de l’Espace
( 87217 )
- Case 41
74 rue Louis Pasteur
84029 Avignon Cedex
- France
-
Université Nice Sophia Antipolis (1965 - 2019) ( 117617 )
;
-
Avignon Université ( 195507 )
;
-
Aix Marseille Université UMR7300 ( 198056 )
;
-
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique UMR7300 ( 441569 )
;
-
Université Côte d'Azur UMR7300 ( 1039632 )
4
AMU -
Aix Marseille Université
( 198056 )
- Aix-Marseille Université
Jardins du Pharo
58 Boulevard Charles Livon
13284 Marseille cedex 7
- France
5
LMAH -
Laboratoire de Mathématiques Appliquées du Havre
( 1091235 )
- 25 rue Philippe Lebon
BP 1123
76063 Le Havre Cedex
- France
-
Université Le Havre Normandie UR 3821 ( 300317 )
;
-
Normandie Université ( 455934 )
6
ULH -
Université Le Havre Normandie
( 300317 )
- 25 rue Philippe Lebon - BP 1123 - 76063 Le Havre Cedex France
- France
-
Normandie Université ( 455934 )
7
GEOAZUR 7329 -
Géoazur
( 239385 )
- 250 rue Albert Einstein, Sophia Antipolis 06560 VALBONNE
- France
-
Institut national des sciences de l'Univers UMR7329 ( 300045 )
;
-
Observatoire de la Côte d'Azur ( 302144 )
;
-
Université Côte d'Azur ( 1039632 )
;
-
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique UMR7329 ( 441569 )
;
-
Institut de Recherche pour le Développement UR082 ( 451860 )
;
-
Université Côte d'Azur ( 1039632 )
8
UniCA -
Université Côte d'Azur
( 1039632 )
- Parc Valrose, 28, avenue Valrose 06108 Nice Cedex 2
- France
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Langue du document |
Anglais
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Vulgarisation |
Non
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Comité de lecture |
Oui
|
Invité |
Non
|
Audience |
Internationale
|
Actes |
Non
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Titre du congrès |
UGI-IGU
|
Date début congrès |
2022-07-18
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Date fin congrès |
2022-07-22
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Ville |
Paris
|
Pays |
France
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URL du congrès ou éditeur |
https://www.ugiparis2022.org/
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Domaine(s) |
-
Sciences de l'Homme et Société
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Sciences de l'Homme et Société/Géographie
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Mathématiques [math]
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Voir aussi |
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https://www.com2sica.cnrs.fr/
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Projet(s) ANR |
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Mots-clés |
en
disaster, human behavior, warning, relief, mathematical modelling
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