Losing on the Home Front? Battlefield Casualties, Media, and Public Support for Foreign Interventions - HAL-SHS - Sciences de l'Homme et de la Société
Pré-Publication, Document De Travail Année : 2023

Losing on the Home Front? Battlefield Casualties, Media, and Public Support for Foreign Interventions

Résumé

How domestic constituents respond to signals of weakness in foreign wars remains an important question in international relations. In this paper, we study the impact of battlefield casualties and media coverage on public demand for war termination. To identify the effect of troop fatalities, we leverage the otherwise exogenous timing of survey collection across 26,776 respondents from nine members of the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) in Afghanistan. Quasi-experimental evidence demonstrates that battlefield casualties increase coverage of the Afghan conflict and public demand for withdrawal, with heterogeneous effects consistent with an original theoretical argument. Evidence from a survey experiment replicates the main results. To shed light on the media mechanism, we leverage a news pressure design and find that major sporting matches occurring around the time of battlefield casualties drive down subsequent coverage, and significantly weaken the effect of casualties on support for war termination. These results highlight the crucial role that media play in shaping public support for foreign military interventions.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
wp_202341_.pdf (954.65 Ko) Télécharger le fichier
Origine Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s)

Dates et versions

halshs-04343919 , version 1 (14-12-2023)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : halshs-04343919 , version 1

Citer

Thiemo Fetzer, Pedro Cl Souza, Oliver Vanden Eynde, Austin L Wright. Losing on the Home Front? Battlefield Casualties, Media, and Public Support for Foreign Interventions. 2023. ⟨halshs-04343919⟩
95 Consultations
48 Téléchargements

Partager

More