Testing for “contagion” of the subprime crisis on the Middle East and North African stock markets : A Markov Switching EGARCH approach - HAL-SHS - Sciences de l'Homme et de la Société
Article Dans Une Revue Journal of Economic Integration Année : 2012

Testing for “contagion” of the subprime crisis on the Middle East and North African stock markets : A Markov Switching EGARCH approach

Résumé

In this paper, we investigate whether the recent financial turmoil which arose in the United States has contaminated the Middle East and North African countries (MENA). In contrast to Lagoard-Segot and Lucey (2009), we try to identify the existence of pure contagion (Masson, 1999) rather than shift-contagion (Rigobon, 2003). Then, we explicitly define financial “contagion” in accordance with Eichengreen et al. (1996) and we extend the Cerra and Saxena (2002) methodology by using a Markov-Switching EGARCH model introduced by Henry (2009) in order to identify contaminated MENA stock markets. Our results provide evidence of a persistence of recession characterised by low mean/high variance regimes which coincides with the third phases of the subprime crisis. In addition, there is evidence of mean and volatility contagion in MENA stock markets caused by the US stock market.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
1022.pdf (2.44 Mo) Télécharger le fichier
Origine Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s)
Loading...

Dates et versions

halshs-00522683 , version 1 (01-10-2010)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : halshs-00522683 , version 1

Citer

Wajih Khallouli, René Sandretto. Testing for “contagion” of the subprime crisis on the Middle East and North African stock markets : A Markov Switching EGARCH approach. Journal of Economic Integration, 2012, 27 (1), pp. 134-166. ⟨halshs-00522683⟩
129 Consultations
978 Téléchargements

Partager

More