Heterogeneous expectations and long range correlation of the volatility of asset returns - HAL-SHS - Sciences de l'Homme et de la Société
Pré-Publication, Document De Travail Année : 2010

Heterogeneous expectations and long range correlation of the volatility of asset returns

Jérôme Coulon
  • Fonction : Auteur
  • PersonId : 763492
  • IdRef : 157470172

Résumé

Inspired by the recent literature on aggregation theory, we aim at relating the long range correlation of the stocks return volatility to the heterogeneity of the investors' expectations about the level of the future volatility. Based on a semi-parametric model of investors' anticipations, we make the connection between the distributional properties of the heterogeneity parameters and the auto-covariance/auto-correlation functions of the realized volatility. We report different behaviors, or change of convention, whose observation depends on the market phase under consideration. In particular, we report and justify the fact that the volatility exhibits significantly longer memory during the phases of speculative bubble than during the phase of recovery following the collapse of a speculative bubble.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
HeterogeneityModelVolatility_HAL_SHS.pdf (699.49 Ko) Télécharger le fichier
Origine Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s)
Loading...

Dates et versions

halshs-00541953 , version 1 (01-12-2010)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : halshs-00541953 , version 1

Citer

Jérôme Coulon, Yannick Malevergne. Heterogeneous expectations and long range correlation of the volatility of asset returns. 2010. ⟨halshs-00541953⟩
104 Consultations
123 Téléchargements

Partager

More