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Pré-publication, Document de travail Année : 2011

Deforestation and the Real Exchange Rate

Résumé

Deforestation is a phenomenon that has largely been concentrated in the developing world. We construct a theoretical model of deforestation that focuses on the factors affecting the incentives to transform forested land into agricultural land. We show that: (i) lower discount rates and stronger institutions decrease deforestation; (ii) depreciations in the real exchange rate increase deforestation in developing countries whereas the opposite obtains in developed countries; (iii) paradoxically, better institutions may exacerbate the deleterious impact of depreciations in developing countries. These hypotheses are tested on an annual sample of 101 countries over the 1961-1988 period, and are not rejected by the data. Our results suggest that short-term macroeconomic policy, institutional factors, and the interaction between the two, are potentially important determinants of environmental outcomes.
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Dates et versions

halshs-00570477, version 1 (28-02-2011)

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  • HAL Id : halshs-00570477 , version 1

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Jean-Louis Arcand, Patrick Guillaumont, Sylviane Guillaumont Jeanneney. Deforestation and the Real Exchange Rate. 2011. ⟨halshs-00570477⟩
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Dernière date de mise à jour le 18/05/2024
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