Manifestos and public opinion: a new test of the classic Downsian spatial model - HAL Accéder directement au contenu
Pré-publication, Document de travail Année : 2014

Manifestos and public opinion: a new test of the classic Downsian spatial model

Résumé

According to the Downs spatial model of electoral competition, in bipartisan systems political parties' manifestos are closer to the median voter's concerns, while in multiparty democracies partisan concerns are more covered in parties' platforms. Based on data in political manifestos and public opinion in 23 European countries from 2004 to 2012, we show that the Downsian model provides correct predictions. Two more specific points are uncovered in this article: first, unlike the previous studies and the original model, we focus on the people's most important issue, instead of on their preferences. Second, we analyse seven different issues, and we show that the Downsian model works only on the issues which reflect the left-right continuum.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
SPGWP15.pdf ( 530.73 Ko ) Télécharger
Origine : Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s)
Loading...

Dates et versions

halshs-00954738, version 1 (03-03-2014)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : halshs-00954738 , version 1

Citer

Raul Magni Berton, Sophie Panel. Manifestos and public opinion: a new test of the classic Downsian spatial model. 2014. ⟨halshs-00954738⟩
197 Consultations
277 Téléchargements
Dernière date de mise à jour le 28/04/2024
comment ces indicateurs sont-ils produits

Partager

Gmail Facebook Twitter LinkedIn Plus