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Communication Dans Un Congrès Année : 2016

Modelling human behaviours in disasters from interviews: application to Melbourne bushfires

Résumé

This paper describes a model for raising the decision-makers' awareness of the real (irrational and subjective) behaviours of the population in crisis situations. We analyse residents' statements and police hearings gathered after Victoria Black Saturday bushfires in 2009 to deduce a model of human behaviour based on the distinction between objective (capabilities, danger) and subjective (confidence, risk aversion) attributes , and on individual motivations. We evaluate it against observed behaviour archetypes and statistics, and show its explicative value.
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Dates et versions

halshs-02107085 , version 1 (23-04-2019)

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  • HAL Id : halshs-02107085 , version 1

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Carole Adam, Benoit Gaudou. Modelling human behaviours in disasters from interviews: application to Melbourne bushfires. Social Simulation Conference, Sep 2016, Roma, Italy. ⟨halshs-02107085⟩
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