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Article Dans Une Revue Review of Economics and Statistics Année : 2022

A Natural Experiment on Job Insecurity and Fertility in France

Résumé

Job insecurity can have wide-ranging consequences outside of the labour market. A 1999 rise in the French layoff tax paid by large private firms when they laid off older workers made younger workers less secure; this insecurity reduced their fertility by 3.7 percentage points (with a 95% confidence interval between 0.7 and 6.6 percentage points). Reduced fertility is only found at the intensive margin: job insecurity reduces family size but not the probability of parenthood itself. Our results also suggest negative selection into parenthood, as this fertility effect does not appear for low-income and less-educated workers.

Dates et versions

halshs-02973086 , version 1 (20-10-2020)

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Citer

Andrew E. Clark, Anthony Lepinteur. A Natural Experiment on Job Insecurity and Fertility in France. Review of Economics and Statistics, 2022, 104 (2), pp.386-398. ⟨10.1162/rest_a_00964⟩. ⟨halshs-02973086⟩
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