What we talk about when we talk about seasonality – A transdisciplinary review
Ola Kwiecien
(1)
,
Tobias Braun
(2)
,
Camilla Francesca Brunello
(3)
,
Patrick Faulkner
(4)
,
Niklas Hausmann
(5)
,
Gerd Helle
(3)
,
Julie Hoggarth
(6)
,
Monica Ionita
(7)
,
Chris Jazwa
(8)
,
Saige Kelmelis
(9)
,
Norbert Marwan
(2)
,
Cinthya Nava-Fernandez
(10)
,
Carole Nehme
(11)
,
Thomas Opel
(12)
,
Jessica Oster
(13)
,
Aurel Perşoiu
(14)
,
Cameron Petrie
(15)
,
Keith Prufer
(16)
,
Saija Saarni
(17)
,
Annabel Wolf
(1)
,
Sebastian F.M. Breitenbach
(1)
1
Northumbria University [Newcastle]
2 PIK - Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
3 Earth Surface Geochemistry [Postdam]
4 The University of Sydney
5 Römisch-Germanisches Zentralmuseum Mainz
6 Baylor University
7 ERIS - Emil Racoviță Institute of Speleology
8 University of Nevada [Reno]
9 USD - University of South Dakota [Vermillion]
10 RUB - Ruhr University Bochum = Ruhr-Universität Bochum
11 IDEES - Identité et Différenciation de l’Espace, de l’Environnement et des Sociétés
12 AWI - Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research
13 Vanderbilt University [Nashville]
14 USU - University Stefan cel Mare of Suceava
15 CAM - University of Cambridge [UK]
16 The University of New Mexico [Albuquerque]
17 Helsingin yliopisto = Helsingfors universitet = University of Helsinki
2 PIK - Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
3 Earth Surface Geochemistry [Postdam]
4 The University of Sydney
5 Römisch-Germanisches Zentralmuseum Mainz
6 Baylor University
7 ERIS - Emil Racoviță Institute of Speleology
8 University of Nevada [Reno]
9 USD - University of South Dakota [Vermillion]
10 RUB - Ruhr University Bochum = Ruhr-Universität Bochum
11 IDEES - Identité et Différenciation de l’Espace, de l’Environnement et des Sociétés
12 AWI - Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research
13 Vanderbilt University [Nashville]
14 USU - University Stefan cel Mare of Suceava
15 CAM - University of Cambridge [UK]
16 The University of New Mexico [Albuquerque]
17 Helsingin yliopisto = Helsingfors universitet = University of Helsinki
Résumé
The role of seasonality is indisputable in climate and ecosystem dynamics. Seasonal temperature and precipitation variability are of vital importance for the availability of food, water, shelter, migration routes, and raw materials. Thus, understanding past climatic and environmental changes at seasonal scale is equally important for unearthing the history and for predicting the future of human societies under global warming scenarios. Alas, in palaeoenvironmental research, the term ‘seasonality change’ is often used liberally without scrutiny or explanation as to which seasonal parameter has changed and how. Here we provide fundamentals of climate seasonality and break it down into external (insolation changes) and internal (atmospheric CO2 concentration) forcing, and regional and local and modulating factors (continentality, altitude, large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns). Further, we present a brief overview of the archives with potentially annual/seasonal resolution (historical and instrumental records, marine invertebrate growth increments, stalagmites, tree rings, lake sediments, permafrost, cave ice, and ice cores) and discuss archive-specific challenges and opportunities, and how these limit or foster the use of specific archives in archaeological research. Next, we address the need for adequate data-quality checks, involving both archive-specific nature (e.g., limited sampling resolution or seasonal sampling bias) and analytical uncertainties. To this end, we present a broad spectrum of carefully selected statistical methods which can be applied to analyze annually- and seasonally-resolved time series. We close the manuscript by proposing a framework for transparent communication of seasonality-related research across different communities.
Format du dépôt | Notice |
---|---|
Type de dépôt | Article dans une revue |
Titre |
en
What we talk about when we talk about seasonality – A transdisciplinary review
|
Résumé |
en
The role of seasonality is indisputable in climate and ecosystem dynamics. Seasonal temperature and precipitation variability are of vital importance for the availability of food, water, shelter, migration routes, and raw materials. Thus, understanding past climatic and environmental changes at seasonal scale is equally important for unearthing the history and for predicting the future of human societies under global warming scenarios. Alas, in palaeoenvironmental research, the term ‘seasonality change’ is often used liberally without scrutiny or explanation as to which seasonal parameter has changed and how. Here we provide fundamentals of climate seasonality and break it down into external (insolation changes) and internal (atmospheric CO2 concentration) forcing, and regional and local and modulating factors (continentality, altitude, large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns). Further, we present a brief overview of the archives with potentially annual/seasonal resolution (historical and instrumental records, marine invertebrate growth increments, stalagmites, tree rings, lake sediments, permafrost, cave ice, and ice cores) and discuss archive-specific challenges and opportunities, and how these limit or foster the use of specific archives in archaeological research. Next, we address the need for adequate data-quality checks, involving both archive-specific nature (e.g., limited sampling resolution or seasonal sampling bias) and analytical uncertainties. To this end, we present a broad spectrum of carefully selected statistical methods which can be applied to analyze annually- and seasonally-resolved time series. We close the manuscript by proposing a framework for transparent communication of seasonality-related research across different communities.
|
Auteur(s) |
Ola Kwiecien
1
, Tobias Braun
2
, Camilla Francesca Brunello
3
, Patrick Faulkner
4
, Niklas Hausmann
5
, Gerd Helle
3
, Julie Hoggarth
6
, Monica Ionita
7
, Chris Jazwa
8
, Saige Kelmelis
9
, Norbert Marwan
2
, Cinthya Nava-Fernandez
10
, Carole Nehme
11
, Thomas Opel
12
, Jessica Oster
13
, Aurel Perşoiu
14
, Cameron Petrie
15
, Keith Prufer
16
, Saija Saarni
17
, Annabel Wolf
1
, Sebastian F.M. Breitenbach
1
1
Northumbria University [Newcastle]
( 336598 )
- Newcastle City Campus, 2 Ellison Pl, Newcastle upon Tyne NE1 8ST, United Kingdom
- Royaume-Uni
2
PIK -
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
( 551206 )
- Telegraphenberg A 31, 14473 Potsdam
- Allemagne
3
Earth Surface Geochemistry [Postdam]
( 1077543 )
- GFZ, Department of Geochemistry, Telegrafenberg, 14473 Potsdam
- Allemagne
4
The University of Sydney
( 374701 )
- New South Wales 2006
- Australie
5
Römisch-Germanisches Zentralmuseum Mainz
( 527483 )
- Forschungsbereich Altsteinzeit, 56567 Neuwied
- Allemagne
6
Baylor University
( 346836 )
- 1301 S University Parks Dr, Waco, TX 76706, États-Unis
- États-Unis
7
ERIS -
Emil Racoviță Institute of Speleology
( 1083558 )
- Bucarest
- Roumanie
8
University of Nevada [Reno]
( 181483 )
- 1664 N. Virginia Street Reno, NV 89557
- États-Unis
9
USD -
University of South Dakota [Vermillion]
( 560841 )
- 414 E Clark St, Vermillion, SD, South Dakota 57069, États-Unis
- États-Unis
10
RUB -
Ruhr University Bochum = Ruhr-Universität Bochum
( 1150306 )
- Allemagne
11
IDEES -
Identité et Différenciation de l’Espace, de l’Environnement et des Sociétés
( 97036 )
- 7 Rue Thomas Becket 76821 Mont-Saint-Aignan Cedex
- France
12
AWI -
Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research
( 1077800 )
- Bremerhaven
- Allemagne
13
Vanderbilt University [Nashville]
( 168363 )
- Nashville, Tennessee, TN 37240
- États-Unis
14
USU -
University Stefan cel Mare of Suceava
( 343783 )
- Str. Universitatii 13, 720229 Suceava, Romania
- Roumanie
15
CAM -
University of Cambridge [UK]
( 237843 )
- The Old Schools, Trinity Lane, Cambridge CB2 1TN
- Royaume-Uni
16
The University of New Mexico [Albuquerque]
( 117472 )
- Albuquerque, Nouveau-Mexique 87131
- États-Unis
17
Helsingin yliopisto = Helsingfors universitet = University of Helsinki
( 50895 )
- Yliopistonkatu 4, 00100 Helsinki
- Finlande
|
Langue du document |
Anglais
|
Nom de la revue |
|
Vulgarisation |
Non
|
Comité de lecture |
Oui
|
Audience |
Internationale
|
Page/Identifiant |
103843
|
Date de publication |
2022
|
Date de publication électronique |
2021-11-01
|
Volume |
225
|
Domaine(s) |
|
Mots-clés |
en
Seasonality, Speleothems, Varves, Invertebrates, Tree rings, Statistics, Archaeology, Historical climatology, Cave ice, Permafrost
|
DOI | 10.1016/j.earscirev.2021.103843 |
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