Government Spending, Monetary Policy, and the Real Exchange Rate - HAL-SHS - Sciences de l'Homme et de la Société
Pré-Publication, Document De Travail Année : 2012

Government Spending, Monetary Policy, and the Real Exchange Rate

Résumé

A robust prediction across a wide range of open-economy macroeconomic models is that an unanticipated increase in public spending in a given country appreciates it currency in real terms. This result, however, contradicts the findings of a number of recent empirical studies, which instead document a signifi...cant and persistent depreciation of the real exchange rate following an expansionary government spending shock. In this paper, we rationalize the findings of the empirical literature by proposing a small-open-economy model that features three key ingredients : incomplete and imperfect international financial markets, sticky prices, and a not-too-aggressive monetary policy. The model predicts that in response to an unexpected increase in public expenditures, the risk-adjusted long-term real interest rate falls, causing the real exchange rate to depreciate. We establish this result both analytically, within a special version of the model, and numerically for the more general case.
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Dates et versions

halshs-00655972 , version 1 (03-01-2012)
halshs-00655972 , version 2 (15-03-2012)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : halshs-00655972 , version 1

Citer

Aurélien Eyquem, Hafedh Bouakez. Government Spending, Monetary Policy, and the Real Exchange Rate. 2012. ⟨halshs-00655972v1⟩
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