European energy efficiency and decarbonization strategies beyond 2030 : A sectoral multi-model decomposition - HAL-SHS - Sciences de l'Homme et de la Société Accéder directement au contenu
Article Dans Une Revue Climate Change Economics Année : 2013

European energy efficiency and decarbonization strategies beyond 2030 : A sectoral multi-model decomposition

Résumé

Energy efficiency and decarbonization are important elements of climate change mitigation. We draw on European mitigation scenarios from the EMF28 modeling exercise to decompose economy-wide and sectoral emissions into their main components. We utilize the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) to gain insights into five effects : affluence, energy intensity, carbon intensity, conversion efficiency, and structural change. Economy-wide analysis suggests that energy efficiency improvements (including end-use efficiency of production and structural change of the economy) determine emission reductions short to medium term while decarbonization becomes more important in the long term. Sectoral analysis suggests that electricity generation holds the largest potential for decarbonization. Mitigation in the transport and energy-intensive sectors is limited by technology availability, forcing output and energy inputs to decline to meet the given mitigation pathways. We conclude that energy efficiency improvements could bridge the time until carbon-free technologies mature, while their quick development remains essential.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
SM_European-energy-efficiency_CCE-EMF28_2013.pdf (651.89 Ko) Télécharger le fichier
Origine : Accord explicite pour ce dépôt
Loading...

Dates et versions

halshs-00939253 , version 1 (31-01-2014)

Identifiants

Citer

Hannah Förster, Katja Schumacher, Enrica de Cian, Michael Hübler, Ilkka Keppo, et al.. European energy efficiency and decarbonization strategies beyond 2030 : A sectoral multi-model decomposition. Climate Change Economics, 2013, 4 (suppl. 1, Special Issue on "The EMF28 Study on Scenarios for Transforming the European Energy System), pp.1340004/1-29. ⟨10.1142/S2010007813400058⟩. ⟨halshs-00939253⟩
328 Consultations
439 Téléchargements

Altmetric

Partager

Gmail Facebook X LinkedIn More